Probability of fixation
From Genetics Wiki
[math]u(p)=\frac{1-e^{4N_esp}}{1-e^{4N_es}}[/math]
If we are considering the initial frequency of a single new mutation in the population [math]p=1/(2N_e)[/math].
[math]u(p)_1=\frac{1-e^{4N_es\frac{1}{2N_e}}}{1-e^{4N_es}}=\frac{1-e^{2s}}{1-e^{4N_es}}[/math]
